img srchttpcdn.mos.techradar.comimagesmicrosoftlogo200200.jpgp2010
has been a landmark year for Microsoft with success after success.
ppWindows 7 now the fastestselling operating system ever. Kinect
2.5 million sold in 25 days. IE9 catching up to Chrome and Firefox
on speed and standards support. ppThe Office Web Apps from Office
2010 are built into the new Facebook messaging system. Even Windows
Phone 7 has turned out well and Bing has been gaining users in
October it had nearly as many visitors as Wikipedia, according to
Compete, putting it just outside the top five websites in the US,
at least. ppBut what happens next year, with Ray Ozzie gone, Chrome
OS hitting the market and tablets galore a rumoured spring release
for the iPad 2, the BlackBerry PlayBook by the second half of the
year, HP promising webOS tablets and everyone else building on
Android with netbookfriendly Gingerbread. ppWas this year a turning
point or a flash in the pan for Microsoft ppDont expect Microsoft
to break up, go private, buy Adobe or sack Steve Ballmer. ppDont
expect the mythical Xbox 720 to finally arrive. ppDo expect Windows
8, IE9, lots of Windows Phone updates and a slew of tablets using
various flavours of Windows plus up to six more Microsoft stores,
including New York, but probably not London.ppstrongIE9strongppWere
expecting Microsoft to launch the release candidate of IE9 not long
after CES in January with the final version following at Microsofts
MIX Web developer conference in April. ppWe could see some small
changes to the look of the interface and the RC will have the do
not track option to sign up to lists of ad services you dont want
to track you from site to site, but there wont be support for any
of the technologies such as WebGL that arent yet standardised.
ppimg
srchttpmos.futurenet.comtechradarclassificationsworld20of20techimagesMicrosoft2011IE920square42090.jpg
altIE9 width420imgppstrongNEW UI strongemThis shot of the new
Tracking Protection feature in IE9 also seems to show slight
differences to the user interface, with squaredoff tabsemppThe
excellent performance, full hardware acceleration and good HTML5
support will make IE9 successful, but while this puts Microsoft
back in the browser game Chrome and Firefox will carry on rolling
out much faster updates. ppMore importantly for Microsoft, the
HTML5 support in IE9 is crucial for new services like Bing Maps,
Office Web Apps and Office Live improvements and the cloud
connection and synchronisation planned for Windows 8. ppThink of
IE9 as a stepping stone to the cloud for businesses first, but for
consumers as well.ppstrongWindows Phone 7 updatesstrongppTalking of
updates, Windows Phone 7 will get copy and paste early next year
along with support for the CDMA standard used on two key US mobile
networks details will be announced at CES. ppparam param
nameallowFullScreen valuetrueparam param nameallowscriptaccess
valuealwaysparam embed srchttpwww.youtube.comvgxjeEpOJbMchlenfs1
typeapplicationxshockwaveflash allowscriptaccessalways
allowfullscreentrue width420 height315 embed objectpThere are
rumours that a second update allowing some multitasking for
thirdparty apps and more customisation is currently in beta and
will be announced at Mobile World Congress in February weve heard
suggestions that updates might come as often as quarterly to help
Windows Phone catch up to competitors, which could have the update
shipping as soon as May. ppAt the same time, Microsoft will
announce some updates to Silverlight in Windows Phone. The public
beta of Silverlight 5 for the PC which adds remote control,
variable speed playback with pitch correction and hardware
acceleration for H.264 video is due in the second quarter of 2011
with the final version coming before the end of the year. If any of
the Silverlight features for Windows Phone are the same, dont
expect to see them on the phone much sooner than that. ppFurther
down the line is a major update to the Windows Phone browser
bringing a major overhaul of standard support and new approaches to
make significant advances in performance, power consumption and
bandwidth utilization and a search experience that will be the key
tool you use to plan and complete your day to day activities.
ppThat sounds like Windows Phone 8 and while it might not arrive in
2011, the way the team is growing suggests Microsoft is going to
keep giving Windows Phone the resources it needs to compete. ppIf
the updates keep coming and the handset manufacturers can actually
ship more devices, Windows Phone has a good chance of getting
reasonable market share in 2011.ppstrongWindows tabletsstrongppWere
not sure we can say the same for tablets. Although a handful of
Windows 7 slates have appeared this year from smaller players and
perhaps somewhat begrudgingly from HP, expect to see bigger names
producing tablets once Intels Oak Trail processor is available.
ppThe fiveinch Ocosmos gaming tablet probably wont make it out of
Korea instead, from what Intel has been telling OEMs, well see
10inch models that are less than half an inch thick, with proximity
sensors, hardware acceleration for media that supports 1080p video
and wireless connections that get you online in a couple of
seconds. ppIntel says there will be 35 Atom tablets coming out in
the first half of next year, although some of them might run Chrome
OS, Android or Meego rather than Windows 7, using Intels Atom
CE4100 system on a chip. ppThe power consumption of Atom means that
its going to be hard to match the battery life and weight of an
iPad or an Android tablet or what we hear about the PlayBook on
Windows 7 systems and our experiences with the ExoPC Slate show
that the handwriting recognition that should be the killer feature
on a Windows tablet needs a little more work on capacitive screens.
ppimg
srchttpmos.futurenet.comtechradarReview20imagesTechRadarComputingExoPC20SlatephotosExoPC20on420100.jpg
altExoPC width420imgppstrongPLAYING CATCHUP strongemEven the nicest
Windows 7 slates are heavier and have less battery life than the
iPad or Android tablets will 2011 tablets do betteremppBut if what
you want is the power of Windows to run a full browser and play any
kind of media, then one tablet rumour weve heard makes sense.ppWe
might or might not see TV services on Xbox next year to compete
with Google TV and Apple TV, but we will see Windows Media Center
settop boxes from Acer and Asus, running on Windows Embedded,
delivering a mix of broadcast and internet TV, plus Netflix and
maybe even Sky. ppAnd one of the key features in the new version of
Windows Embedded along with a much lower price is multitouch
support. ppWith Microsoft keeping such tight control over the
Windows Phone form factor we dont expect to see a Windows Phone
tablet next year, but multitouch tablets running Windows Media
Center Embedded are a possibility. ppThe Media Center interface is
ideal for fingers and you can put a limited number of apps and
games on it already.ppimg
srchttpmos.futurenet.comtechradarclassificationsworld20of20techimagesMicrosoft2011mc20tablet42090.jpg
altMedia center tablet width420imgppstrongON THE BOX strongemThe
familiar Media Center interface will be in settop boxes and maybe
on Windows Embedded tablets as wellemppBut unless whatever
Microsoft comes out with here is really exciting, we think it will
struggle to compete on the tablet front at least until Windows 8
comes along.ppstrongWindows 8strongppGiven how little we know about
Windows 8 its all from rumours, leaks and job adverts its
impossible to say how significant it will be, although Steve
Ballmer has called it Microsofts riskiest product bet. ppAt this
point were predicting that well see the Windows 8 beta in the
autumn of 2011 and the final version in the late summer of 2012
three years after Windows 7. ppThe most recent rumours give the
64bit version its own 3D interface on systems with powerful enough
graphics chips to go with the Kinectstyle gesture control promised
in the lead slides and this job ad promises groundbreaking features
for making Windows the most stable and trustworthy massmarket
OS.ppimg
srchttpmos.futurenet.comtechradarclassificationsworld20of20techimagesMicrosoft2011win820gesture42090.jpg
altWindows 8 gesture recognition width420imgppstrongMOTION SENSING
strongemWalk up to a Windows 8 PC and it will know youre there weve
seen Kinectstyle gestures working with PCs in the Microsoft
envisioning lab alreadyemppThe danger is that instead of doing
something bold and innovative, the Windows team succumbs to
incrementalism while Chrome and webOS move towards lightweight,
cloudenabled systems that work more like an alwayson phone, but the
leaks claim Windows 8 will have much faster hibernation and resume
in just a few seconds and use the cloud to back up settings and app
details as well for an app store, so well just have to wait and
see.ppCertainly, we dont see either Chrome or webOS going
mainstream in 2011. Except on tablets, where portability and
battery life trump compatibility and power, we dont think Windows
has more to worry about from competing operating systems next year
than it did this year Chrome OS is obviously incomplete and even
though it will evolve quickly, its still completely dependent on
you being online. ppAnd while tablets might displace some
situations where youll no longer take a laptop with you, for most
people theyll be a second or third computer. But if theyre as
popular a second computer as some are predicting, Microsoft is
going to look rather late to the party until Windows 8 comes along.
ppMicrosoft is going to take a beating in the home storage market,
too. Despite gutting the product by removing the Drive Extender
disk replication feature from the next version, Microsoft is still
promising to ship the Vail updates to Windows Home Server in the
first half of 2011 along with the new versions of Small Business
Server that are the reason for dropping Drive Extender and well see
the first Vail home servers at CES. ppimg
srchttpcdn.mos.techradar.comclassificationscomputingupgradesandperipheralsstoragenetworkedstorageimageshpmediasmartlaunch420100.jpg
altWindows home server width420imgppAlthough Steve Ballmer said
hell look into the issue, it doesnt seem likely that Drive Extender
will return and unless one of the PC manufacturers does something
really innovative with it, Vail looks like a fail.ppstrongLife
without OzziestrongppLong term, its an open question as to how
Microsoft will fare without Ray Ozzie and indeed without Robbie
Bach, ex head of the entertainment and devices division. ppOzzies
influence has been most obvious in the business products, where the
move to the cloud is now entrenched in Microsoft consciousness, but
hes also been responsible for helping prioritise user experience
the principle thats made Kinect more significant than Surface and
thats made Windows Phone and a truly engaging device to use. ppAnd
the social computing FUSE Labs team he set up which has been coming
out with the kind of innovative web tools such as Montage that you
dont usually associate with Microsoft is now part of Microsoft
Research, although with the same team in place. ppBachs teams
produced the Xbox, Kinect and Windows Phone but then they also ran
Windows Mobile into the ground, shipped the DOA Kin phone, allowed
the red ring of death to happen and disappointed everyone by making
us think Courier was real or even possible. ppBut those departures
arent likely to have much effect on the products we see in 2011,
which were already well under way before either departure. ppIts
the direction of the company over the next five years that might
falter without them. For the next twelve months, Microsoft still
looks good but it also faces plenty of challenges. pppimg width1
height1 srchttprss.feedsportal.comc669f415081s1096cbb2mf.gif
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