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The increasing amount of bearish economic data has driven a number
of analysts to question whether the Global economy will be going
through another
dip in a recession that has already lasted 2 years
(in some countries) leading to a double dip recession. We examine
some of the key impacts that this will have on your business
-whether small or large- and discuss some potential actions that
could assist you.
Businesses will find it difficult to access funds and financing.
While this has been an ongoing issue during the Great Financial
Crisis (GFC), this will continue to be a constraint for many
businesses. While governments around the world have been talking
second rounds of Stimulus packages, many of these packages will
most probably not go ahead. Company Treasurers should re-examine
their short and now medium term financing needs to ensure that they
will be able to close any funding gaps (gross investment less
retained cash flow).
A much higher cost of capital will mean that it will be harder for
businesses to expand. Credit spreads have widened significantly
from pre-GFC levels and while they have come down a lot from a year
ago, still remain highly volatile. Longer term borrowing has not
improved as well. Under no circumstances will the days of extremely
cheap capital and credit return in the next few years. Those days
are long gone and while I never say never, the memory is too fresh
in people's minds of mis-pricing risk attached to credit.
Reduced cash flows driven by a worldwide slowdown in spending will
impact all industries. Businesses should be prepared for another
slowdown in volumes (in the order of 5 to 15 per cent) and
additional reductions in prices (between 0-5 per cent) in their
industries. Companies will need to think about creative ways to
price their products and services. Subscription pricing models are
one way to help reduce the up-front costs for your customers as
well as secure future income for years to come.
Credit losses will continue to be significant. US Government data
released in August 2010 show that personal bankruptcies are at
their highest levels in 5years and businesses should expect to see
credit losses continue. Keeping tight control over any extension of
credit and shortening receivables time should on your radar and
measured closely.
Continued Volatility is the "new normal." Not only have the stock
markets been extremely volatile, pretty much every market has been
experiencing the same sort of volatile price movements.
Commodities, credit and even currencies have all seen violent price
swings based on the risk sentiment of the day and while there may
be a lot of traders profiting from this, it doesn't help businesses
to forecast well when their cost of goods could swing by up to 10
or even 20 per cent due to the compounding impact of swings in
commodities, credit and their currency. My suggestion is to look
for ways to hedge their purchases or to lock in agreed prices to
give themselves cash flow certainty while foregoing any upside
benefits.
Cheska have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come
visit his blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people
with the interest for double dip
recession 2010 and great passion
and knowledge for recession
2010 and all the different
options & providers available in the market today. Find out for
more info also here CAUSESOFRECESSION.ORG
Date Published: Jan 10, 2011 - 1:08 am
With the thought of a
double dip recession on the horizon many are asking
what is the best business or opportunity online to invest
themselves into online. Here is the best answer you can find. With
another repeat of the latest recession looming on the horizon, many
individuals are trying to figure out how to survive through a
double dip recession. For those of us who have found success
through online marketing understand because we receive the e-mails
and phone calls asking what is the best business, easiest business
and opportunity online to help them create at least a supplemental
income.
There are 1000's upon thousands of opportunities online and to
truly find success with online marketing will come through
affiliate marketing and or, providing online marketing training to
others. Affiliate marketing can be made simple, but remember, there
is a learning curve to all this and investing a pretty penny into a
solid training or mentoring program can help to solidify your
success online. Affiliate marketing of any kind online will require
solid training and mentoring as well as massive action on your
part.
Millions of people every year try their hand at online marketing
through multilevel marketing opportunities, affiliate programs and
what ever else they can get for a low cost. There is another fact
about success online...you get what you pay for here just like
anywhere else. Solid training and mentoring will cost, but this is
an investment into you and surviving a double dip recession. How do
you avoid a recession even a double dip recession? By investing in
you for a change and learning how to effectively market online,
finding a solid product or service and literally applying your self
though a solid work ethic and massive action.
Glenn have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come visit his
blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people with the
interest for
recession 2011 and great passion and knowledge for
recession proof businesses and all the
different options & providers available in the market today.
Find out for more info also here RECESSION2011.NET
Date Published: Jan 05, 2011 - 1:55 am
Worries about a
double-dip global recession have been rising in
recent weeks. They began with the surprise report a month ago that
GDP growth in the 16 Eurozone countries had declined to just 0.1%
in the fourth quarter.
In recent days Sweden reported its economy did slide back into
recession in the fourth quarter, its GDP growth coming in at minus
0.6%, (compared to its central bank's forecast of 0.5% GDP growth),
while Sweden, Denmark, and Norway reported unexpectedly slower
fourth quarter growth.
With the additional problems in global economies so far this
quarter related to the debt crises in Dubai, Greece, Spain, Italy,
Portugal, Ireland, etc., it doesn't seem that conditions are
improving this quarter.
The double-dip worry has spread to the U.S. on recent negative
economic reports. New home sales plunged 11% in January. Existing
home sales fell 7.2%. Durable Goods Orders ex-aircraft fell 0.6%.
Consumer incomes grew only 0.1% in January, the smallest rise in
four months. Construction spending fell again in January, down
0.6%. Reports for February have continued the trend with Consumer
Confidence plunging sharply in February, while the ISM
manufacturing index fell to 56.5 in February from 58.4 in
January.
Nobel prize winning economist Paul Krugman has been saying since
December that the possibility of the U.S. economy sliding back into
a double-dip recession in 2010 is "not a low probability event.
Odds are about 30% to 40% of it happening." He believes the
catalysts will be the wind down of government stimulus programs,
and businesses having completed the inventory rebuilding that
boosted 4th quarter GDP.
It's not just academics who are concerned.
Jamie Dimon, chairman of JP MorganChase, says a double dip in the
economy is quite possible. Dimon adds that he believes a larger
problem than the debt crisis in Greece and other European countries
might be the debt crisis in California if it worsens, given the
size of California's economy and the potential for a ripple effect
across the country.
Jerry have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come visit his
blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people with the
interest for
recession proof businesses and great passion and
knowledge for
recession 2010 and all the different options &
providers available in the market today. Find out for more info
also here RECESSIONOVER.ORG
Date Published: Jan 05, 2011 - 1:48 am
There is no doubt that the US is now heading for another
double dip
recession in 2011. With this being the case a lot of people are
panicking. But did you know it is easy to profit even when the
economy turns sour?
NO matter what happens in 2011, it is a sure bet that the US fed
quantitative easing programs are not working. That means that the
dollar is edged to moved lower and inflation will soon come in.
Even though these events will be bad, there is still a way for you
to profit.
Here are 5 ways to offset the double dip recession coming in
2011.
1 .Buy gold: There will come a time when the US fed will have to
abandon what is their current monetary polices. When that happens
severe inflation will come in. That will affect currencies and give
strength to such metals as gold. Those that hold this metal will
survive if things get bad. You can use ETF's, gold funds, or buy
physical gold.
2. Buy yielding stocks: When the economy is uncertain, income
rules. Stocks with good dividends are always used a flight to
safety by smart investors. Even though stocks are stuck in trading
ranges at the moment, the real nice profits might come from
dividends as they are guaranteed as payments.
3. Reap the best rewards: Overseas and foreign investments are
doing particularly well at the moment. China, is said to be the
next US super power. And it is only early days. A lot of wealthier
investors are finding opportunity in chine before the next major
boom happens. Make sure you consider doing this also.
4. Look to agriculture: Inflation is looking like a real
possibility. Instead of looking at this as a problem, look at it
with open eyes and as an opportunity. If food prices are going to
skyrocket, what do you think this is going to to do to the
agricultural commodities. Look to the top agricultural commodities
funds for some nice returns over the next 12 months.
5. Another economic downturn: If you a look at current unemployment
rates and figures. And other stats about the US economy there is
going to be another downturn coming soon. It is really just about
supply and demand. Look for areas for strong demand and no supply.
That is how many people made a lot of money back in 2008 when the
stock markets melted down. Instead of seeing panic and pessimism,
look at the whole situation as lucrative in a world where others
simply give in to negatives around them.
Xuan have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come visit his
blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people with the
interest for
recession proof businesses and great passion and
knowledge for
double dip recession 2010 and all the different
options & providers available in the market today. Find out for
more info also here CURRENTRECESSION.ORG
Date Published: Dec 30, 2010 - 3:08 am
Double
Dip recession refers to the method when gross domestic product
or (GDP) growth goes down subsequent to one quarter or two of
positive growth. This is a kind of recession which is trailed by a
revival process which is also fleeting, and after that there is yet
another recession. There could be numerous causes behind a
double-dip recession; however these reasons differ though they are
inclusive of a slowdown which is prevalent during the necessity for
goods and services which result due to layoffs, plus spending
cutbacks which are bound to arise, as a result of the prior
downturn.
A double-dip recession or for that matter, a triple-dip recession
denotes the nastiest case situation. Recovery is rendered even
trickier as there is an innate fear that the economy could always
slide back and this could then lead to a longer as well as a deeper
session of recession.
A recession is an occurrence which nearly all the people are more
or less aware of. This leads us to the essence of a double dip
recession. If a recession is deemed as a plunge in the economy,
then it would be worthwhile to state that a double dip recession
refers to the phase wherein the economy is hindered for a
succeeding time. This leads us to the query as to why exactly a
double dip recession occurs.
In the recent past, when people involved in the higher echelons of
administration were in the process of enabling important decisions,
it was settled on that stimulus spending was the lone means of
evading this state of affairs. Stimulus spending refers to the
process where the finances of the administration are utilized for
the purpose of kindling the economy so that it could be revived, so
that things could once again revert back to the original state. The
stimulus resolution presupposes that the economy could do with some
resurrection after which it would be capable of functioning in a
much more capable manner and this would be ensured till the time
the stimulus finances stop.
The double dip recession is being heralded as the stimulus finances
have almost been depleted; however there is not an adequate amount
of indication that the economy has been revived in a satisfactory
manner. All the incentives of the administration for purchasing
either the latest car alternately a house are not present anymore;
however there is a lack of satisfactory evidence to highlight this
fact. This necessarily means that the market is not ripe for
certain investments, and that a certain integral portion of the
economy is rendered dysfunctional.
It is tricky to predict how far-off the economy is capable of
plummeting during the second round. This is primarily dependent on
the amount of resurgence which the economy has experienced during
the initial round itself. Almost all the people concerned concur
that the subsequent plunge would not be as appalling as the initial
one. A double dip recession can be overcome if you are economically
viable as this would assist you in tiding over the hard-hitting
times.
Ranma have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come visit his
blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people with the
interest for
recession 2010 and great passion and knowledge for
double
dip recession 2010 and all the different options &
providers available in the market today. Find out for more info
also here RECESSIONINTHEWORLD.COM
Date Published: Dec 30, 2010 - 3:00 am
The most recent employment figures from the federal Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS) indicate that the
recession is
continuing to have a direct impact upon employment. "Total nonfarm
payroll employment declined by 131,000 in July, and the
unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics reported today. Federal government employment
fell, as 143,000 temporary workers hired for the decennial census
completed their work." Private-sector payroll employment increased
by 71,000. Thus, the number of unemployed nationally has increased.
The Bureau of Labor statistics reported that the June 2010
unemployment rate for Oregon held steady at 10.5 percent. The
Bureau of Labor statistics reported that the June 2010 unemployment
rate for Oregon held steady at 8.9 percent.
This is coupled with a still teetering housing market. Realtytrac
reports that "a total of 97,123 U.S. properties received default
notices in July, a 1 percent increase from the previous month but a
28 percent decrease from July 2009." Realtytrac also noted that
"Default notices in July were down 32 percent from their peak of
142,064 in April 2009." Additionally, Realtytrac reported
"Foreclosure auctions were scheduled for the first time on a total
of 135,248 U.S. properties in July, an increase of 2 percent from
the previous month but a decrease of 2 percent from July 2009.
Scheduled auctions in July were down 14 percent from their peak of
158,105 in March 2010. Lenders foreclosed on 92,858 U.S. properties
in July, a 9 percent increase from the previous month and a 6
percent increase from July 2009."
This dire economic data has caused some to speculate that the
economy is facing a "double dip" recession, that is, a second drop
in economic growth, and the subsequent weakening in job growth and
increase in unemployment. It seems likely that this second economic
dip will force more families that are already hanging on by a
thread so to speak into financial calamity. Many of these people
will consider bankruptcy as an option. It should be noted that
unemployment can significantly affect the type of bankruptcy that a
consumer can file, and the overall outcome of that bankruptcy
proceeding.
Chapter 7 liquidation is the most common type of bankruptcy. Since
significant changes to the bankruptcy law went into effect, it has
been more difficult to qualify for Chapter 7 bankruptcy. This is
due to a provision of the bankruptcy code called "means testing."
This essentially looks at a household's income and liabilities and
determines whether the debtor falls below certain paramaters in
order to qualify for Chapter 7 liquidation. On the other hand, many
people seek Chapter 13 wage earner repayment plans. In order to
qualify for this type of plan, the debtor must be employed, and
demonstrate to the Court and Trustee that he or she can make the
monthly payments under the plan. In between Chapter 13 repayment
and Chapter 7 liquidation is a potential no-man's land, in which
the debtor previously earned too much income to qualify for a
Chapter 7, but no longer qualifies for a Chapter 13 repayment plan
due to unemployment. A good bankruptcy attorney can assist debtors
in pre-petition planning to ensure that the proper type of case is
filed. This may involve reviewing income, assets and liabilities
also referred to as "means testing" or reconsidering the timing of
filing a petition.
Maryam have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come visit
his blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people with the
interest for
double dip recession 2010 and great passion and
knowledge for
recession 2010 and all the different options
& providers available in the market today. Find out for more
info also here CAUSESOFRECESSION.ORG
Date Published: Dec 29, 2010 - 2:23 am
The current economic conditions have created an obvious stir in the
thoughts and opinions of individuals, experts, and classrooms
across the nation. Not since the early 1980s has there been so much
talk from experts about the reality of a double dip recession
appearing on the horizon. Even college and high school students
have become concerned about the
long-term effects
of what they hear in the daily news.
Quality of life is in the balance for many people and a decent
portion of them have placed future plans on hold until they see how
this economic drama plays out. However, there are always some who
have better positioned themselves to be prepared for difficult
economic times. Even within this demographic there is an ample
amount of concern.
Some financial forecasts have a double dip recession not taking
place until the latter part of 2010 or beyond, while others see it
taking place much sooner. The gloomy unemployment picture plays a
crucial part in these analyses, since hiring growth is predicted to
decline by the majority of experts. A lack of confidence in the
economy may also prove to be a contributing factor, incited by the
daily flow of headline news which gives details related to the
increasing deficit.
Political efforts are being made to hold back this flood wall of
economic digression. Hope still remains, that the predictions of a
double dip recession never become a sobering fact. Thoughts and
opinions related to the economy will continue to intensify, and
this is a certainty that can be taken to the bank.
Sylvia have been writing articles for nearly 2 years. Come visit
his blogs more often for tips and advice that helps people with the
interest for
double dip recession 2010 and great passion and
knowledge for
recession proof businesses and all the different
options & providers available in the market today. Find out for
more info also here BOOMANDBUST.ORG
Date Published: Dec 28, 2010 - 3:42 am