This year's
Super Bowl looks like a great match up. These are
two teams with great histories, great talent, superb coaches and
great traditions. I am anticipating a close game which may be
decided by one critical mistake.
Right now, The Packers are slight favorites to win this year's
contest. However,there are a number of factors which seem to favor
the team in black and yellow fromthe
Steel
City.
The fact that the quarterback, coaches and a number of players have
been to The Super Bowl before helps The
Steelers to
manage the big game experience and the big game pressure
effectively. Many of their players "have been there and done that"
attitude.
These ideas fit with the research findings presented in one of my
books, Who Will Win The Big Game And Why: 50 Characterstics Of
Championship Players, Teams And Coaches.
I coauthored this book with Carlton Chin, an MIT trained quant.
Carlton looked at the mathematical factors which determine the
winners of big games and I looked at the psychological determinants
of those who are victorious in big games.
Our research indicates that coaching and previous experience in
major contests play huge roles in a team's success in these kinds
of contests.
In addition,
Pittsburgh has a more consistent and more reliable
running game thando The Packers.
And
Pittsburgh has the edge in turnover ratio. Since
many big games are won and lost on errors, this is an important
statistic.
Both teams have outstanding quarterbacks, but Big Ben has been
there before and he may have some added incentive to prove to the
world that he is still a champion, even though he had some off the
field issues. He has something very personal to prove to the
sporting world. He appears to be the kind of tough and arrogant
athlete who will really enjoy showing the world that he is an
outstanding quarterback.
The AFC is arguably a tougher conference than is the NFC.
Pittsburgh
was able to compile a fine record against some very worthy
opponents. And, they were able to win without their starting
quarterback who was serving a four game suspension at the start of
the season. This shows how well balanced this team really is.
Both of these squads have great histories and both organizations
have special connections to their communities. If you talk to
someone from Green Bay or from
Pittsburgh,
you realize that these teams are about much more than just
football.
However, the Steelers have perhaps one of the best names in
football. The name connotes mental toughness, physical toughness,
durability and a kind of solidness.
The Packers have a nice name. It connotes teamwork and a pack.
However,in my mind, it does not compare to The
Steelers.
Furthermore, "The Cheese Heads" are entertaining and comical, but
they do not match up with the steel helmets that
Pittsburgh
fans wear with great pride. Steel fits with the gridiron better
than does cheese.
The Steelers also have the edge in terms of their uniforms. Green
and gold make
for a nice uniform. But black and yellow are powerful and
menacing.
Both coaches are superb. Mike Tomlin is, however, intense, focused,
proven and has created what appears to be a well-disciplined family
in
Pittsburgh. Again, Green Bay is a great team, but
Pittsburgh seems to have a bit more intensity and ferocity in their
approach to the game.
I frequently get calls from coaches who want me to help them to
improve their athletes' performance. If I were advising Mike
Tomlin, I would encourage him to bring in some of the players from
The Steelers rich tradition. Have Terry Bradshaw, Franco Harris,
Rocky Bleier and others share their experiences, insights and
motivational thoughts with his fine group of athletes.
Capitalize on that fine black and yellow tradition which
intertwined with The
Steel
City.
Date Published: Jan 31, 2011 - 7:33 am