Summary: Why Democracies Will Always Go Bankrupt
When I was growing up, finance was mother’s milk to me, especially as I was a bit of a math geek. But for my formal education, I was trained—rather rigorously, and in spite of my laziness—as a philosopher and a historian. This odd combination is why I have such a jaundiced view of economics: I don’t find economics particularly intimidating, or even particularly challenging—it’s just finance’s snooty but poor (and slightly daft) older cousin. History’s surprisingly ignorant and blinkered accountant. Philosophy and Math’s lightly retarded, Puritanically rigid, and altogether rather embarrassing spawn.
Now, it’s all good and fine for me to rant about how useless economics is—but these aren’t empty complaints on my part: I can point to a single, specific, monumental failing of economics—a failure in the discipline which pretty much proves my point:
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When I was growing up, finance was mothers milk to me, especially
as I was a bit of a math geek. But for my formal education, I was
trainedrather rigorously, and in spite of my lazinessas a
philosopher and a historian. This odd combination is why I have
such a jaundiced view of economics I dont find economics
particularly intimidating, or even particularly challengingits just
finances snooty but poor and slightly daft older cousin. Historys
surprisingly ignorant and blinkered accountant. Philosophy and
Maths lightly retarded, Puritanically rigid, and altogether rather
embarrassing spawn.divimg
srchttp1.bp.blogspot.comSSUbVSGKVYTSyAbvy9UwIAAAAAAAAAhw3SpCuDZnmss320rodinthinkerphilosophy.jpg
border0 alt width248 height320 divNow, its all good and fine for me
to rant about how useless economics isbut these arent empty
complaints on my part I can point to a single, specific, monumental
failing of economicsa failure in the discipline which pretty much
proves my pointThe United States is going bankruptand economics
cannot explain why.divIn fact, a surprisingly large number of
economists choose to emignoreem the problem of Americas looming
bankruptcy altogether or claim there is something called a
structural deficit a highfalutin way of pretending that it cannot
be fixed, and therefore doesnt need fixing or elseas is the case of
the fools backing Modern Monetary Theorythey make the claim that
all deficits are just debts the government owes itself, so
therefore the American government cannot go broke, so thereforeand
lets ring out the QEDthe fiscal overindebtedness is actually
emnotem a problem because it doesnt even actually
emexist!emdivdivThey really do claim that. And no, they are not
high.Of course, sovereign overindebtedness emdoesem exist, and it
emisem a problema terrible, lifeordeath problem As a lot of
historians have pointed out, sovereign bankruptcy presages and
ushers the collapse of great nationsoften emviolentem collapse. And
this is something we want to avoid, nodiva namemoreaSome schools of
economic thought recognize that deficits are bad because they lead
to bankruptcy, and that therefore fiscal budgets should be balanced
so as to avoid them. But they do not explain emwhyem this is the
casethey have no argument to explain why deficits happen in the
first place. That these clever Austrians point to something that
has happened before, and therefore infer that it will happen again
if similar conditions are met is not an argumentit is an
observation, like saying that the sun has risen countless times in
the east, so it will likely rise again in the east tomorrow
morning.This is a true observationbut it doesnt explain emwhyem the
sun will rise tomorrow in the east. Since the Austrians cannot
explain emwhyem deficits happen and eventually lead to national
bankruptcy, they are simply empositingem them, much like tenets of
a religion. These arguments might appeal more to our experiences in
the real worldespecially when compared to the ema prioriem drivel
of NeoKeynesians, Monetarists, MMT weenies, and their ilk Peddlers
of arguments as unsound as atonal clamor. But ema posterioriem
arguments based on intuition and common sensegussied up in German
though they may be, and attractive though we may find themare of no
help, because they are based on faith, not reason.
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